Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Nicolas Jarry

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.5	1.31	Watch
	3.89	1.29
	3.11	1.35	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.38)	1.33 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
28.3%

Nicolas Jarry
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pedro Martinez Portero's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Jarry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Nicolas Jarry Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicolas Jarry will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nicolas Jarry will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 68. Jarry is ranked ATP: 100.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Martinez Portero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jarry is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Martinez Portero won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
16.07.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Roman Andres Burruchaga	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.25	Jannik Sinner - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:0 ✺
03.07.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Mariano Navone	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LL?LW
- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.25	Nicolas Jarry - Cameron Norrie	2:3 ✺
04.07.25	Nicolas Jarry - Joao Fonseca	3:1 ✺
02.07.25	Nicolas Jarry - Learner Tien	3:0 ✺
30.06.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Nicolas Jarry	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
23.02.23	Nicolas Jarry - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0
ATP Kitzbuhel
26.07.22	Nicolas Jarry - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2

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