Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brussels, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Raphael Collignon		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.65	1.47
	2.76	1.51
	2.79	1.41	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.75)	1.47 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
35.1%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Raphael Collignon aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	0%	22.7%

Raphael Collignon - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Collignon: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Raphael Collignon will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 90. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 20.

Collignon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Davidovich Fokina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Davidovich Fokina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Davidovich Fokina could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.63%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Brussels
15.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Zizou Bergs - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Patrick Kypson	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Stuart Parker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Brussels
15.10.25	Marcos Giron - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW

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