Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Luedenscheid (Germany), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 July 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Simon P. (Ger)


	Raphael Collignon		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.65	2.12	Watch
	1.65	2.27
	1.64	2.18	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.26	Watch
	1.65	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.19)	2.16 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
56.8%

Marco Trungelliti
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raphael Collignon's performance.

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marco Trungelliti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raphael Collignon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marco Trungelliti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Raphael Collignon - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 306. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 123.

Collignon in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Trungelliti is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Collignon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Collignon to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Challenger
30.07.24	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.07.24	Raphael Collignon - Khumoun Sultanov	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
12.07.24	Raphael Collignon - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
11.07.24	Raphael Collignon - Max Wiskandt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
29.07.24	Justin Engel - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
ATP Umag
24.07.24	Marco Trungelliti - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
22.07.24	Marco Trungelliti - Guido Andreozzi	2:1 ✺
21.07.24	Marco Trungelliti - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
20.07.24	Marco Trungelliti - Matija Pecotic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWW

Raphael Collignon - Marco Trungelliti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide