Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bratislava 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday


	Raphael Collignon		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.37	2.75
	1.45	2.60	Watch
			Watch
	1.44	2.59	Watch
	1.56	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.78)	2.59 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
64.2%

Stanislas Wawrinka
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raphael Collignon's performance.

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stanislas Wawrinka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raphael Collignon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stanislas Wawrinka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Raphael Collignon - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Collignon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Raphael Collignon will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 73. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 158.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Wawrinka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Lukas Klein	2:1 ✺
ATP Basel
21.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Arthur Rinderknech	Canceled ✺
ATP Brussels
18.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WL?LW
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
23.10.25	Casper Ruud - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
01.10.25	Fabian Marozsan - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.09.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Dan Added	Added D. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWL?

Raphael Collignon - Stanislas Wawrinka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide