Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bordeaux - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday


	Rei Sakamoto		Chun Hsin Tseng

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.42	1.59
	2.41	1.54	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.25	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.61)	1.56 ↓ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
40.3%

Chun Hsin Tseng
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rei Sakamoto's form might have worsened.

Chun Hsin Tseng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chun Hsin Tseng's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chun Hsin Tseng than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chun Hsin Tseng, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Rei Sakamoto - Chun Hsin Tseng Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sakamoto will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tseng will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 156. Tseng is ranked ATP: 169.

Sakamoto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Tseng has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tseng may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sakamoto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Chun Hsin Tseng - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.04%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Rei Sakamoto - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Gianluca Cadenasso	Canceled ✺
28.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Ryan Seggerman	2:1 ✺
27.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Nicola Porcu	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 W?WWL
- Chun Hsin Tseng
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Andrey Chepelev - Chun Hsin Tseng	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Chun Hsin Tseng	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Chun Hsin Tseng	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Lukas Neumayer - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.11.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Rei Sakamoto	2:1

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