The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reilly Opelka 42.7%
Sebastian Korda 57.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
51.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
51%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reilly Opelka's form might have worsened.
Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Korda's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Korda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Reilly Opelka - Sebastian Korda Predictions
Users Predictions:
75 users predict this event. Opelka will win (votes: 30 - 40%). Korda will win (votes: 45 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 48.9% – 71.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Opelka is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Korda is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Opelka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.