Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vienna 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Fabian Marozsan		Tomas Machac

	1	2
			Watch
	2.80	1.40
	2.95	1.35
	2.84	1.41	Watch
	2.80	1.38
	2.77	1.39	Watch
	2.85	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.51)	1.39 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
32.9%

Tomas Machac
67.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabian Marozsan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Machac, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Fabian Marozsan - Tomas Machac Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Machac (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tomas Machac will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marozsan is ranked ATP: 64., and Machac is ranked ATP: 72..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Machac may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Machac holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Marozsan has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:4 (averaging 0:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Tomas Machac - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.12%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Vienna
24.10.26	Fabian Marozsan - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
ATP Almaty
22.10.26	Alexander Bublik - Fabian Marozsan	Bublik A. Walkover ✺
20.10.26	Fabian Marozsan - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Fabian Marozsan - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
27.09.26	Fabian Marozsan - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 W?WLL
- Tomas Machac
ATP Vienna
24.10.26	Corentin Moutet - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
22.10.26	Tomas Machac - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
21.10.26	Zangar Nurlanuly - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Tomas Machac - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
15.10.26	Tomas Machac - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Halle
19.06.25	Fabian Marozsan - Tomas Machac	0:2
ATP Vienna
23.10.24	Tomas Machac - Fabian Marozsan	2:0

Fabian Marozsan - Tomas Machac