Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: PARIS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 1 November 2022, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Richard Gasquet		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	2.62	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.5	1.53
	2.5	1.49
	2.67	1.54
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.59	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (3.02)	1.52 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richard Gasquet
37.3%

Casper Ruud
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richard Gasquet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Richard Gasquet's performance.

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casper Ruud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Richard Gasquet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casper Ruud could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.6%	0%	32.4%

Richard Gasquet - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Gasquet will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%). Ruud will win (votes: 11 - 32.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gasquet: 51.9% – 83.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Ruud could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ruud will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gasquet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richard Gasquet
ATP Paris
31.10.22	Alex Molcan - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Antwerp
22.10.22	Richard Gasquet - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
21.10.22	Richard Gasquet - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
19.10.22	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
17.10.22	Stanislas Wawrinka - Richard Gasquet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWW
- Casper Ruud
ATP Basel
25.10.22	Stanislas Wawrinka - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
04.10.22	Casper Ruud - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
ATP Seoul
30.09.22	Casper Ruud - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
29.09.22	Casper Ruud - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.22	Casper Ruud - Taylor Harry Fritz	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Bastad
20.07.18	Richard Gasquet - Casper Ruud	2:0

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