Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Poncho A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3


	Richard Gasquet		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.78	1.49
	2.78	1.49
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.49	Watch
	2.7	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (3.31)	1.49 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richard Gasquet
35.7%

Lorenzo Sonego
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

71.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richard Gasquet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Richard Gasquet's performance.

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Sonego might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Richard Gasquet - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Gasquet will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Sonego will win (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gasquet: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Sonego could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sonego will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gasquet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richard Gasquet
ATP Madrid
23.04.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Stefano Napolitano - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Richard Gasquet	Canceled ✺
ATP Bucharest
15.04.24	Richard Gasquet - Federico Coria	Canceled ✺
ATP Estoril
05.04.24	Richard Gasquet - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WW??L
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Bucharest
16.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
10.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Fabio Fognini	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Budapest
25.04.18	Richard Gasquet - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2
ATP Australian Open
18.01.18	Richard Gasquet - Lorenzo Sonego	3:0

Richard Gasquet - Lorenzo Sonego: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide