Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Pinoargote J. (Ecu)


	Stefano Napolitano		Richard Gasquet

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.3
	1.58	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.35
	1.62	2.33
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.23	Watch
	1.66	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.86)	2.28 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
58.7%

Richard Gasquet
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefano Napolitano's performance.

Richard Gasquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Richard Gasquet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefano Napolitano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Richard Gasquet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Stefano Napolitano - Richard Gasquet Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Napolitano will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Gasquet will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

#ad

Preview

Napolitano is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gasquet is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Napolitano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
19.04.24	Stefano Napolitano - Ugo Blanchet	1:2 ✺
18.04.24	Fabio Fognini - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
16.04.24	Jozef Kovalik - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Leandro Riedi - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Stefano Napolitano - Mikhail Kukushkin	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWW?
- Richard Gasquet
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Richard Gasquet	Canceled ✺
ATP Bucharest
15.04.24	Richard Gasquet - Federico Coria	Canceled ✺
ATP Estoril
05.04.24	Richard Gasquet - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
04.04.24	Richard Gasquet - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Richard Gasquet - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 ??LWL

Stefano Napolitano - Richard Gasquet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide