Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ilkley - Qualification, grass - FinalDate: 8 June 2026, Monday
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Rio Noguchi |
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Keegan Smith |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.78 |
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1.90 |
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1.82 |
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1.93 |
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1.87 |
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1.97 |
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1.8 |
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1.9 |
Watch |
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1.80 |
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1.91 |
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1.78 |
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1.90 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.46) |
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1.92 ↓
(2.53) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 22.50
- The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Rio Noguchi
51.5% | Keegan Smith
48.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Noguchi's form might have worsened.Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keegan Smith's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Noguchi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keegan Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Rio Noguchi - Keegan Smith Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Smith will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Smith: 73.9% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 22.5 Games - over (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Noguchi is ranked ATP: 202. Smith is ranked ATP: 244.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Noguchi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match. In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
Last Results with these Odds
Rio Noguchi - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 63.46%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Keegan Smith - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.54%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
