Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: New Delhi, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Stefanos Sakellaridis		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.9	1.81	Watch
	1.84	2.06
	1.82	1.89	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.79	1.89	Watch
	1.87	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.28)	1.88 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis
50.2%

Rio Noguchi
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Sakellaridis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefanos Sakellaridis's performance.

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Noguchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefanos Sakellaridis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Noguchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Sakellaridis will win (votes: 30 - 85.7%). Noguchi will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakellaridis: 74.1% – 97.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Games - Sakellaridis (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stefanos Sakellaridis will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakellaridis (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Noguchi (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 275. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 250.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Sakellaridis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sakellaridis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Manish Sureshkumar	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
08.02.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Alan Magadan	Canceled ✺
07.02.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.01.26	Ilia Simakin - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WW?LL
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
18.02.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Rio Noguchi - Rawat Sidharth	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Rio Noguchi - Maximus Jones	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Rio Noguchi - Marek Gengel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.01.26	Rio Noguchi - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide