Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 14 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max


	Roberto Bautista-Agut		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.15	1.37
	3.08	1.37	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	3.23	1.4	Watch
	3.15	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.61)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Bautista-Agut
30.1%

Denis Shapovalov
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Bautista-Agut's form might have worsened.

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denis Shapovalov's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	0%	68.7%

Roberto Bautista Agut - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 51. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 58.

Recent matches Shapovalov is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shapovalov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shapovalov is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bautista-Agut won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:7 (average 0:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Adelaide
06.01.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Metz
05.11.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
24.10.24	Denis Shapovalov - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
23.10.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
ATP Antwerp
20.10.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLLWW
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Adelaide
07.01.25	Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
05.01.25	Denis Shapovalov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Canceled ✺
05.01.25	Denis Shapovalov - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
31.12.24	Denis Shapovalov - Kei Nishikori	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
20.11.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 L?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Basel
24.10.24	Denis Shapovalov - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0
ATP Washington
29.07.24	Denis Shapovalov - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.21	Denis Shapovalov - Roberto Bautista-Agut	3:0

Roberto Bautista-Agut - Denis Shapovalov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide