Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Marcos Giron		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.1	1.71
	2.19	1.74
	2.09	1.71	Watch
			Watch
	2.21	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.35)	1.71 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
44.2%

Denis Shapovalov
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Giron will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Giron (votes: 1 - 50%). Shapovalov (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giron is ranked ATP: 57. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 23.

Giron is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shapovalov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Giron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Giron won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Basel
21.10.25	Marcos Giron - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Canceled
ATP Brussels
15.10.25	Marcos Giron - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
13.10.25	Marcos Giron - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Marcos Giron - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
24.09.25	Marcos Giron - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 ?LWLL
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Basel
21.10.25	Sebastian Baez - Denis Shapovalov	Canceled ✺
ATP Stockholm
18.10.25	Denis Shapovalov - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Elias Ymer - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
15.10.25	Leo Borg - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.25	Denis Shapovalov - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 ?LWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov	2:0
ATP Acapulco
27.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Marcos Giron	2:1
ATP Adelaide
07.01.25	Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov	2:0
ATP Houston
02.04.24	Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov	2:0

Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide