Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday


	Roberto Bautista-Agut		Jaume Munar

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.6	1.51	Watch
	2.73	1.5
	2.42	1.55	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.58	1.51	Watch
	2.6	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.91)	1.53 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Bautista-Agut
37.6%

Jaume Munar
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Bautista-Agut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roberto Bautista-Agut's performance.

Jaume Munar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaume Munar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roberto Bautista-Agut that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaume Munar than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaume Munar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Roberto Bautista Agut - Jaume Munar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bautista-Agut (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Munar (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Jaume Munar will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 55. Munar is ranked ATP: 53.

Recent matches Bautista-Agut is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Munar is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bautista-Agut could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Munar will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bautista-Agut won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Munich
15.04.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
ATP Bucharest
02.04.25	Francisco Comesana - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:1 ✺
01.04.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW
- Jaume Munar
ATP Barcelona
17.04.25	Jaume Munar - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
14.04.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Jaume Munar	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.25	Jaume Munar - Daniel Altmaier	1:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
01.04.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
28.05.24	Jaume Munar - Roberto Bautista-Agut	3:1
ATP Gstaad
25.07.19	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jaume Munar	2:0
25.07.18	Jaume Munar - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2

Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jaume Munar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide