Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Roberto Bautista-Agut		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.45	1.3
	3.7	1.33
	3.54	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.17	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.38)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Bautista-Agut
27.5%

Brandon Nakashima
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Roberto Bautista Agut - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Nakashima will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 98. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nakashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nakashima is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bautista-Agut won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Roma
11.05.26	Brandon Nakashima - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.26	Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
09.05.26	Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Brandon Nakashima	2:0
ATP Halle
21.06.23	Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2

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