Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Roberto Bautista-Agut		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.75	2.08	Watch
	1.69	2.09
	1.81	2.11
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.79	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.93)	2.09 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Bautista-Agut
54.3%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Bautista-Agut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.3%	0%	30.7%

Roberto Bautista Agut - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 88 users predict this event. Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 61 - 69.3%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 27 - 30.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bautista-Agut: 59.7% – 78.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Bautista-Agut could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Carreno Busta won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Roland Garros
01.10.20	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Attila Balazs	3:0 ✺
29.09.20	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Richard Gasquet	3:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
25.09.20	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
23.09.20	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Dominik Koepfer	2:1 ✺
22.09.20	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Roland Garros
01.10.20	Guido Pella - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:3 ✺
28.09.20	John Millman - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:3 ✺
ATP Roma
16.09.20	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Rafael Nadal	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
11.09.20	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alexander Zverev	2:3 ✺
08.09.20	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Denis Shapovalov	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Region of Valencia Men
05.06.20	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2
ATP Rotterdam
12.02.20	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2
ATP Roma
17.05.17	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.17	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Roberto Bautista-Agut	Carreno-Busta P. walkover
ATP Winston-Salem
27.08.16	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:1
ATP US Open
02.09.15	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:2

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