Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Sandro Kopp

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.15	4.7	Watch
	1.19	5.23
	1.16	4.59	Watch
	1.17	4.5	Watch
	1.14	4.75	Watch
	1.17	4.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.31)	4.69 ↑ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
80.1%

Sandro Kopp
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roberto Carballes Baena's performance.

Sandro Kopp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sandro Kopp might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roberto Carballes Baena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandro Kopp than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sandro Kopp could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Roberto Carballes Baena - Sandro Kopp Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 164. Kopp is ranked ATP: 318.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kopp may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Carballes Baena is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carballes Baena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Christopher OConnell	Canceled ✺
14.02.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Lucas Miedler	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
08.02.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Mees Rottgering	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LW?WL
- Sandro Kopp
ITF Tournaments
28.02.26	Sandro Kopp - Max Alcala Gurri	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Sandro Kopp - Stefan Popovic	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Sandro Kopp - Alexander Vasilev	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Sandro Kopp - Mattia Nannelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Sandro Kopp - Pietro Orlando Fellin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Sandro Kopp - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2

Roberto Carballes Baena - Sandro Kopp: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide