Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Robin Catry		Karl Poling

	1	2
			Watch
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.85	1.99
	1.74	1.97	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.44)	1.97 ↓ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Robin Catry
52.7%

Karl Poling
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Robin Catry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Robin Catry's form might have worsened.

Karl Poling has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karl Poling's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Robin Catry than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Robin Catry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karl Poling, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Robin Catry - Karl Poling Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Catry will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Poling will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Catry is ranked ATP: 491. Poling is ranked ATP: 577.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Poling may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Robin Catry
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Robin Catry - Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Robin Catry - Beibit Zhukayev	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Robin Catry - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Robin Catry - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Robin Catry - Rodrigo Alujas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWW
- Karl Poling
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	Karl Poling - Mateus Alves	Alves M. Retired ✺
30.03.26	Miguel Tobon - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Guillermo Tunas - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Patrick Zahraj - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Karl Poling - Takeru Yuzuki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?LWLL

Robin Catry - Karl Poling: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide