Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Robin Catry		Mateus Alves

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.7	Watch
	2.23	1.68
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.59)	1.68 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Robin Catry
44.4%

Mateus Alves
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Robin Catry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Robin Catry's form might have worsened.

Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mateus Alves's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Robin Catry - Mateus Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Catry will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Alves will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Catry is ranked ATP: 499. Alves is ranked ATP: 514.

In recent matches, Catry has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Catry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Mateus Alves - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.06%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Robin Catry
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Robin Catry - Rodrigo Alujas	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Robin Catry - Alejandro Hayen	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Robin Catry - Juan Sebastian Osorio	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Robin Catry - Diego Eloy Mendez Montiel	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Robin Catry - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWWL
- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Rafael De Alba - Mateus Alves	0:2 ✺
26.01.26	Mateus Alves - Mariano Kestelboim	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Mateus Alves - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
19.01.26	Mateus Alves - Lucio Ratti	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Mateus Alves - Carlos Eduardo Lino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWW

Robin Catry - Mateus Alves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide