Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.51	2.61
	1.23	4.17	Watch
	1.5	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.34)	3.09 ↓ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
68.6%

Rio Noguchi
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Noguchi will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Noguchi (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rio Noguchi will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Noguchi (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 72. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 214.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Noguchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cerundolo might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Chengdu
18.09.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Billy Harris - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Daniel Evans - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Evans D. retired ✺
10.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Bar Biryukov P. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWW??
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
04.09.25	Oliver Crawford - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Rio Noguchi - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Kaichi Uchida - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Linang Xiao - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLW

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