Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday


	Bu Yunchaokete		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.56	2.57
	1.51	2.45	Watch
	1.53	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.61)	2.55 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bu Yunchaokete
62.7%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bu Yunchaokete that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Manuel Cerundolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Bu Yunchaokete - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Yunchaokete will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Yunchaokete (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 89. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 71.

Yunchaokete has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cerundolo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cerundolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Yunchaokete could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Bu Yunchaokete - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.96%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Alex De Minaur - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Zhizhen Zhang	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
14.09.25	Michael Agwi - Bu Yunchaokete	Canceled ✺
13.09.25	Peter Buldorini - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Valentin Royer - Bu Yunchaokete	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LL?WL
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Tokyo
23.09.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
ATP Chengdu
18.09.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Billy Harris - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWW

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