Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday


	Roman Safiullin		Arthur Rinderknech

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.54	Watch
	1.52	2.55	Watch
	1.58	2.5
	1.58	2.35	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.54	2.51	Watch
	1.52	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.54)	2.51 ↑ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
62.1%

Arthur Rinderknech
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Roman Safiullin - Arthur Rinderknech Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Rinderknech will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roman Safiullin will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 73. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 76.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Rinderknech could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Safiullin will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Safiullin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
19.04.25	Elmer Moller - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Roman Safiullin	Lajovic D. retired ✺
17.04.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
15.04.25	Alexander Blockx - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.25	Roman Safiullin - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 L?WWL
- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Barcelona
15.04.25	Laslo Djere - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Jesper De Jong - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Jozef Kovalik - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.25	Mariano Navone - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Luca Nardi - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Tel Aviv
30.09.22	Arthur Rinderknech - Roman Safiullin	0:2
ATP Cup
01.01.22	Roman Safiullin - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1

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