Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Matteo Arnaldi		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.67	2.23	Watch
	1.72	2.25
	1.77	2.14	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.67	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 (1.7)	2.19 ↑ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
56.3%

Roman Safiullin
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	0%	23.8%

Matteo Arnaldi - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Safiullin will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 30. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 57.

Recent matches Arnaldi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Safiullin is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Safiullin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arnaldi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Zachary Svajda	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
11.08.24	Andrey Rublev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Arnaldi	Davidovich Fokina A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLW?
- Roman Safiullin
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Matthew Forbes - Roman Safiullin	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.24	Christopher Eubanks - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	Corentin Moutet - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
19.08.24	Roman Safiullin - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.24	Roman Safiullin - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Brisbane
04.01.24	Roman Safiullin - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0

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