Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary (USA), hard - Final

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Referee: Rask K. (Gbr)


	Roman Safiullin		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.62	2.17
	1.75	2.13
	1.74	2.14	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.7	2.09	Watch
	1.62	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.55)	2.16 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
56.5%

Mattia Bellucci
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Roman Safiullin - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bellucci will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bellucci: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Safiullin is ranked ATP: 66. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 113.

Safiullin is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bellucci is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Safiullin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Safiullin will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
16.08.24	Roman Safiullin - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
15.08.24	Roman Safiullin - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
13.08.24	Roman Safiullin - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
12.08.24	Roman Safiullin - Matteo Gigante	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
07.08.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
16.08.24	Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
15.08.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
14.08.24	Mattia Bellucci - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
12.08.24	Mattia Bellucci - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
11.08.24	Mattia Bellucci - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

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