Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Campistol J. (Esp)


	Roman Safiullin		Thiago Seyboth Wild

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.98	1.82
	2.04	1.85
	2.04	1.85
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.03	1.79	Watch
	2.1	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.85)	1.79 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
46.6%

Thiago Seyboth Wild
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Thiago Seyboth Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	0%	53.3%

Roman Safiullin - Thiago Seyboth Wild Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Seyboth Wild will win (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Safiullin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Safiullin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Barcelona
15.04.24	Roman Safiullin - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.24	Novak Djokovic - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
08.04.24	Roman Safiullin - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Roman Safiullin - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLW
- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Bucharest
19.04.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
15.04.24	Luca Nardi - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.24	Nicolas Jarry - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
20.03.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stockholm
18.10.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Roman Safiullin	0:2
ATP Challenger
10.05.21	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Roman Safiullin	2:1

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