Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 21 March 2024, Thursday


	Roman Safiullin		Diego Sebastian Schwartzman

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.35	3.2	Watch
	1.38	3.25
	1.39	3.25
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.36	3.19	Watch
	1.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)	3.24 ↑ (3.11)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
70.5%

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diego Sebastian Schwartzman than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Roman Safiullin - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Schwartzman will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Safiullin is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Schwartzman is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Safiullin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Safiullin is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
12.03.24	Roman Safiullin - Denis Kudla	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Roman Safiullin - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Roman Safiullin - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
27.02.24	Roman Safiullin - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
19.02.24	Daniel Evans - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL
- Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
ATP Miami
19.03.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	1:2 ✺
18.03.24	Zachary Svajda - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
20.02.24	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLL

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