Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.58
	2.66	1.53
	2.66	1.53
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.59	1.51	Watch
	2.65	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.39)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
36.9%

Roman Safiullin
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24%	0%	76%

Lorenzo Musetti - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 6 - 24%). Safiullin will win (votes: 19 - 76%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 59.3% – 92.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Musetti is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Safiullin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Musetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Safiullin will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Musetti won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
12.02.24	Tallon Griekspoor - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLL
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Miami
21.03.24	Roman Safiullin - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.24	Roman Safiullin - Denis Kudla	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Roman Safiullin - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Roman Safiullin - Daniel Evans	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
27.02.24	Roman Safiullin - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Chengdu
25.09.23	Roman Safiullin - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0
ATP Challenger
18.02.19	Lorenzo Musetti - Roman Safiullin	0:2

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