The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rudolf Molleker 41.4%
Alibek Kachmazov 58.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
50.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
50.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rudolf Molleker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rudolf Molleker's form might have worsened.
Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alibek Kachmazov's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rudolf Molleker than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rudolf Molleker, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alibek Kachmazov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Rudolf Molleker - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Molleker will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Kachmazov will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kachmazov: 53.8% – 96.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Kachmazov will have a small advantage in this match.