Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ISMANING (GERMANY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 30 October 2023, Monday


	Alibek Kachmazov		Jan Choinski

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.83	2.02
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2.02	Watch
	1.77	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.02)	2.01 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alibek Kachmazov
53.6%

Jan Choinski
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alibek Kachmazov's performance.

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan Choinski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alibek Kachmazov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan Choinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Alibek Kachmazov - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kachmazov will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Choinski will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Kachmazov is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Choinski is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Choinski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
18.10.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
16.10.23	Fajing Sun - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
11.10.23	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
10.10.23	Sheng Tang - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.23	Marc Polmans - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
16.10.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Jan Choinski	Pellegrino A. retired ✺
13.10.23	Federico Coria - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
12.10.23	Hugo Dellien - Jan Choinski	Dellien H. retired ✺
10.10.23	Thiago Monteiro - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
04.10.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 ?L?WL

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