Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sassuolo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday


	Ryan Nijboer		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6
			Watch
	2.22	1.65
			Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.19	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.59)	1.6 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Nijboer
41.8%

Gianluca Mager
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Nijboer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ryan Nijboer's performance.

Gianluca Mager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gianluca Mager might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryan Nijboer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gianluca Mager could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Nijboer is ranked ATP: 434. Mager is ranked ATP: 423.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Nijboer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mager is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Nijboer
ITF Tournaments
22.05.25	Miguel Damas - Ryan Nijboer	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Ryan Nijboer	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Ryan Nijboer - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
12.05.25	Ryan Nijboer - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Ryan Nijboer - Bekkhan Atlangeriev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWW
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
08.06.25	Alexander Weis - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Gianluca Mager - Oleg Prihodko	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Nicolas Kicker - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Gianluca Mager - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLLWW

Ryan Nijboer - Gianluca Mager: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide