Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 8 January 2024, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Ryan Peniston		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.75	2
	1.75	1.98	Watch
	1.8	2.04
	1.81	2.04
	1.8	1.91
	1.76	2.02	Watch
	1.8	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.86)	1.99 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryan Peniston
52.7%

Elias Ymer
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Ryan Peniston - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Peniston will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Ymer will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Peniston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Peniston
ATP Brisbane
29.12.23	Ryan Peniston - Maxime Cressy	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.11.23	Ryan Peniston - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
16.11.23	Ryan Peniston - Dan Martin	Peniston R. retired ✺
14.11.23	Ryan Peniston - Kiranpal Pannu	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Ryan Peniston - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LL?WL
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
01.12.23	Elias Ymer - Benoit Paire	1:2 ✺
30.11.23	Elias Ymer - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
28.11.23	Elias Ymer - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
21.11.23	Elias Ymer - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
15.11.23	Elias Ymer - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLL

Ryan Peniston - Elias Ymer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide