Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 8 January 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Ryan Peniston		Elias Ymer

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Ryan Peniston
52.7%

Elias Ymer
47.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Peniston will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Ymer will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Peniston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryan Peniston
ATP Brisbane
29.12.23	Ryan Peniston - Maxime Cressy	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.11.23	Ryan Peniston - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
16.11.23	Ryan Peniston - Dan Martin	Peniston R. retired ✺
14.11.23	Ryan Peniston - Kiranpal Pannu	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Ryan Peniston - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LL?WL
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
01.12.23	Elias Ymer - Benoit Paire	1:2 ✺
30.11.23	Elias Ymer - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
28.11.23	Elias Ymer - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
21.11.23	Elias Ymer - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
15.11.23	Elias Ymer - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLL

Ryan Peniston - Elias Ymer