Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MAIA (PORTUGAL), CLAY (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 1 December 2023, Friday


	Elias Ymer		Benoit Paire

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.55	2.35	Watch
	1.58	2.48
	1.63	2.37
	1.73	2
	1.63	2.21	Watch
	1.65	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.65)	2.24 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
57.8%

Benoit Paire
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Benoit Paire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Elias Ymer - Benoit Paire Predictions

Users Predictions: Elias Ymer will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ymer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ymer won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
30.11.23	Elias Ymer - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
28.11.23	Elias Ymer - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
21.11.23	Elias Ymer - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
15.11.23	Elias Ymer - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
13.11.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLW
- Benoit Paire
ATP Challenger
29.11.23	Jaime Faria - Benoit Paire	1:2 ✺
27.11.23	Duarte Vale - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
15.11.23	Joao Sousa - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
13.11.23	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	Maks Kasnikowski - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Gstaad
19.07.22	Benoit Paire - Elias Ymer	Paire B. retired

Elias Ymer - Benoit Paire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide