Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ningbo - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ningbo 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Ryuki Matsuda		Naoya Honda

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.85	1.85
	1.89	1.81	Watch
	1.87	1.87
	1.90	1.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.83)	1.83 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryuki Matsuda
49.5%

Naoya Honda
50.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryuki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Naoya Honda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoya Honda than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Ryuki Matsuda - Naoya Honda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked ATP: 655., and Honda is ranked ATP: 597..

In recent outings, Matsuda has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Honda is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Honda could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Ryuki Matsuda - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Naoya Honda - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryuki Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
23.10.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Digvijay Pratap Singh	0:2 ✺
22.10.26	Pawit Sornlaksup - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
20.10.26	Mukund Sasikumar - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
13.10.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Maan Kesharwani	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Yuta Kikuchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLL
- Naoya Honda
ATP Challenger
18.10.26	Kasidit Samrej - Naoya Honda	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Naoya Honda - Kristjan Tamm	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Marat Sharipov - Naoya Honda	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Naoya Honda	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Naoya Honda - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Basilashvili N. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLL?

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naoya Honda
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Khumoun Sultanov - Naoya Honda	✺

Ryuki Matsuda - Naoya Honda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide