Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 3 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Ryuki Matsuda		Yuta Kikuchi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	2.90
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.37	2.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.39)	2.86 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryuki Matsuda
67.7%

Yuta Kikuchi
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryuki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Yuta Kikuchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Kikuchi than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Ryuki Matsuda - Yuta Kikuchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked ATP: 686., and Kikuchi is ranked ATP: 950..

Matsuda is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Kikuchi has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Kikuchi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Matsuda holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Matsuda has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryuki Matsuda
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Sergey Betov	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.10.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Ryuki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Kousuke Ogura	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Reiya Komagata	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Zichen Shao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW
- Yuta Kikuchi
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Yuta Kikuchi - Kousuke Ogura	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Yuta Kikuchi	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Tsung-Hao Huang - Yuta Kikuchi	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Mikalai Haliak - Yuta Kikuchi	Haliak M. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.09.26	Yunseong Chung - Yuta Kikuchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.03.26	Yuta Kikuchi - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0

Ryuki Matsuda - Yuta Kikuchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide