Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VALENCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 November 2022, Tuesday


	Salvatore Caruso		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.27	1.61
	2.21	1.68
	2.12	1.66	Watch
	2.25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.89)	1.62 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salvatore Caruso
42.4%

Luciano Darderi
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salvatore Caruso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salvatore Caruso's performance.

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luciano Darderi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salvatore Caruso than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salvatore Caruso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luciano Darderi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Salvatore Caruso - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Caruso will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Darderi will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Darderi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Darderi is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salvatore Caruso
ATP Challenger
21.11.22	Salvatore Caruso - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Salvatore Caruso - Alvaro Peiro Serrano	2:0 ✺
17.10.22	Jonas Forejtek - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
14.10.22	Salvatore Caruso - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
13.10.22	Nicholas David Ionel - Salvatore Caruso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
14.10.22	Alexandre Muller - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
12.10.22	Renzo Olivo - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
11.10.22	Luciano Darderi - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Luciano Darderi - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
07.10.22	Luciano Darderi - Facundo Bagnis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLW

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