Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2, CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport
France	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Sara Sorribes Tormo		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.41	1.62
	2.51	1.6
	2.38	1.57
	2.38	1.59	Watch
	2.5	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.83)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Sorribes Tormo
39.6%

Jelena Ostapenko
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Sorribes Tormo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sara Sorribes Tormo's form might have worsened.

Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jelena Ostapenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Sorribes Tormo than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sara Sorribes Tormo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jelena Ostapenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	0%	78.9%

Sara Sorribes Tormo - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Jelena Ostapenko will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sorribes Tormo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ostapenko is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sorribes Tormo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ostapenko will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sorribes Tormo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Sorribes Tormo
WTA Roma
10.05.24	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Sara Sorribes Tormo	1:2 ✺
09.05.24	Nadia Podoroska - Sara Sorribes Tormo	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
29.04.24	Iga Swiatek - Sara Sorribes Tormo	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	Victoria Azarenka - Sara Sorribes Tormo	0:2 ✺
25.04.24	Sara Sorribes Tormo - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWLWW
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Roma
10.05.24	Anastasia Potapova - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
29.04.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Ons Jabeur	0:2 ✺
27.04.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
25.04.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.24	Linda Noskova - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Linz
11.10.16	Sara Sorribes Tormo - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0

Sara Sorribes Tormo - Jelena Ostapenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide