Match Info

Date: 28 April 2022, Thursday


	Sebastian Baez		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.73	2.1
	1.72	2.05
	1.78	2.16
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2)	2.11 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
55%

Marin Cilic
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Baez's performance.

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marin Cilic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Baez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marin Cilic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.2%	0%	28.8%

Sebastian Baez - Marin Cilic Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 42 - 71.2%). Cilic will win (votes: 17 - 28.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 59.6% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cilic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Estoril
26.04.22	Joao Sousa - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
10.04.22	Sebastian Baez - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Sebastian Baez - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWW
- Marin Cilic
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
11.04.22	Jo-Wilfried Tsonga - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
28.03.22	Marin Cilic - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
26.03.22	Marin Cilic - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.22	Marin Cilic - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLWL

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