Match Info

Date: 16 July 2022, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Sebastian Baez		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	2.2	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.72
	2.1	1.74
	2.11	1.68
	2.14	1.79
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.16	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.18)	1.73 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
44.8%

Andrey Rublev
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.4%	0%	35.6%

Sebastian Baez - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 29 - 64.4%). Rublev will win (votes: 16 - 35.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 50.4% – 78.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Baez is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rublev is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rublev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Bastad
15.07.22	Sebastian Baez - Dominic Thiem	2:1 ✺
14.07.22	Sebastian Baez - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
12.07.22	Sebastian Baez - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
12.07.22	Sebastian Baez - Arthur Rinderknech	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.22	David Goffin - Sebastian Baez	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWW?L
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Bastad
15.07.22	Laslo Djere - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
14.07.22	Federico Coria - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
13.06.22	Andrey Rublev - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.22	Andrey Rublev - Marin Cilic	2:3 ✺
30.05.22	Andrey Rublev - Jannik Sinner	Sinner J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLL?

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