Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday


	Sebastian Baez		Arthur Rinderknech

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.90	1.90	Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.84	2.07
	1.8	1.96	Watch
	1.79	2.06	Watch
	1.77	2.15	Watch
	1.8	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.94)	2.01 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
52.6%

Arthur Rinderknech
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Baez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Rinderknech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.4%	0%	29.6%

Sebastian Baez - Arthur Rinderknech Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Rinderknech will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 51.5% – 86.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Baez (votes: 1 - 50%). Rinderknech (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 56. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 27.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Baez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Baez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Kitzbuhel
21.07.26	Sebastian Baez - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
17.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Jesper De Jong - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Max Dahlin - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Sebastian Baez	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL
- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Gstaad
17.07.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
15.07.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Clement Tabur	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Novak Djokovic	1:3 ✺
01.07.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Martin Damm	3:0 ✺
29.06.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Oliver Tarvet	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Bastad
12.07.22	Sebastian Baez - Arthur Rinderknech	Canceled

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