Match Info

Date: 29 June 2022, Wednesday

Location: All England Club (London)


	David Goffin		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	1.57	2.37	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.54	2.48
	1.58	2.4
	1.63	2.43
	1.59	2.4	Watch
	1.57	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.68)	2.41 ↑ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Goffin
60.5%

Sebastian Baez
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Goffin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

David Goffin - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: David Goffin will win (72 of 90 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.74% – 88.26%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Baez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Goffin will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Goffin
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.22	David Goffin - Radu Albot	3:0 ✺
ATP Halle
15.06.22	Daniil Medvedev - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.22	David Goffin - Hubert Hurkacz	0:3 ✺
26.05.22	Francis Tiafoe - David Goffin	1:3 ✺
24.05.22	Jiri Lehecka - David Goffin	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.22	Taro Daniel - Sebastian Baez	0:3 ✺
ATP Mallorca
22.06.22	Sebastian Baez - Daniel Altmaier	1:2 ✺
21.06.22	Sebastian Baez - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.22	Alexander Zverev - Sebastian Baez	3:2 ✺
23.05.22	Dusan Lajovic - Sebastian Baez	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWLW

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