Match Info

Date: 12 July 2022, Tuesday


	Sebastian Baez		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
	1.44	2.75
	1.44	2.75
	1.43	2.7
	1.42	3.03
	1.4	2.9
	1.42	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)	2.79 ↓ (2.92)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
66.2%

Fabio Fognini
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Sebastian Baez - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Fognini will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fognini: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Bastad
12.07.22	Sebastian Baez - Arthur Rinderknech	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.22	David Goffin - Sebastian Baez	3:0 ✺
28.06.22	Taro Daniel - Sebastian Baez	0:3 ✺
ATP Mallorca
22.06.22	Sebastian Baez - Daniel Altmaier	1:2 ✺
21.06.22	Sebastian Baez - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 ?LWLW
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Bastad
11.07.22	Fabio Fognini - Marc-Andrea Huesler	1:2 ✺
10.07.22	Fabio Fognini - Karl Friberg	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
27.06.22	Tallon Griekspoor - Fabio Fognini	3:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.22	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Fabio Fognini	Fognini F. retired ✺
22.05.22	Fabio Fognini - Alexei Popyrin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWL?W

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