Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: KITZBUHEL (AUSTRIA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: KITZBUHEL (AUSTRIA) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	19:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	11:00	SportKlub
Bulgaria	12:00	Max Sport 3
Croatia	11:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	11:00	Nova Sport 2
France	11:00	beIN Sports Max
Germany	11:00	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	10:00	Sport TV3
Romania	12:00	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	11:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	11:00	SportKlub


	Alex Molcan		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.95	1.41
	2.73	1.43
	2.85	1.48
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.88	1.42	Watch
	2.8	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.59)	1.44 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
33.9%

Sebastian Baez
66.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.8%	0%	68.2%

Alex Molcan - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Molcan will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Baez will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Baez will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Molcan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Kitzbuhel
02.08.23	Sebastian Ofner - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
31.07.23	Luca Van Assche - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
25.07.23	Alexander Zverev - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
18.07.23	Alexander Zverev - Alex Molcan	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.23	Jan Choinski - Alex Molcan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLL
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Kitzbuhel
02.08.23	Sebastian Baez - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
31.07.23	Hamad Medjedovic - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
26.07.23	Casper Ruud - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
18.07.23	Sebastian Baez - Federico Coria	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Sebastian Baez - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.04.21	Sebastian Baez - Alex Molcan	Baez S. retired

Alex Molcan - Sebastian Baez