Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: KITZBUHEL (AUSTRIA), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 4 August 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Tomas Martin Etcheverry		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.83	1.97
	1.83	1.94
	1.85	2.06
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.84	1.97	Watch
	1.85	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.08)	1.97 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
51.7%

Sebastian Baez
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tomas Martin Etcheverry's performance.

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebastian Baez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	0%	52.9%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Etcheverry will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Baez will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Etcheverry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Etcheverry won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Kitzbuhel
03.08.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
02.08.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Guido Andreozzi	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
24.07.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
18.07.23	Sebastian Ofner - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Kitzbuhel
03.08.23	Alex Molcan - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
02.08.23	Sebastian Baez - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
31.07.23	Hamad Medjedovic - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
26.07.23	Casper Ruud - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
18.07.23	Sebastian Baez - Federico Coria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Santiago
04.03.23	Sebastian Baez - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2
ATP Lyon
16.05.22	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Sebastian Baez	0:2
ITF Tournaments
22.11.19	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Sebastian Baez	2:1

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