Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel (Austria), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Sweden	TV4 Tennis


	Sebastian Baez		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.39	2.95	Watch
	1.41	3.14
	1.42	2.98	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.38	3.08	Watch
	1.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.37)	3.02 ↑ (2.77)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
68.4%

Hugo Gaston
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Sebastian Baez - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Baez will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Baez is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gaston is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gaston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Baez is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Baez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Kitzbuhel
24.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
20.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
19.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
17.07.24	Dusan Lajovic - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
16.07.24	Dominik Koepfer - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Kitzbuhel
24.07.24	Hugo Gaston - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
23.07.24	Hugo Gaston - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
ATP Hamburg
18.07.24	Alexander Zverev - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
16.07.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Alexandre Muller - Hugo Gaston	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Next Gen Finals
11.11.21	Sebastian Baez - Hugo Gaston	3:0

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