Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Thiago Seyboth Wild

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.27	Watch
	1.66	2.34
	1.63	2.23	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)	2.27 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
58.2%

Thiago Seyboth Wild
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Thiago Seyboth Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thiago Seyboth Wild could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Thiago Seyboth Wild Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrios Vera (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Seyboth Wild (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 Games - Barrios Vera (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrios Vera (votes: 6 - 75%). Seyboth Wild (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 114. Seyboth Wild is ranked ATP: 197.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrios Vera won 3.

Barrios Vera is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Seyboth Wild has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Seyboth Wild may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barrios Vera won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Seyboth Wild - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.25%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Buenos Aires
09.02.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Christian Garin	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Ognjen Milic	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.01.26	Daniel Vallejo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ??WLW
- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Buenos Aires
08.02.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Andrea Collarini - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Mariano Navone	Canceled ✺
25.01.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
29.06.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Thiago Seyboth Wild	3:2
ATP Challenger
18.03.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0
07.06.22	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Thiago Seyboth Wild	Canceled
13.05.21	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2
14.08.19	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2
29.04.19	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0

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