Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Marin Cilic		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.68	2.29
	1.61	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.66	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)	2.31 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
58.7%

Alexei Popyrin
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marin Cilic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexei Popyrin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Marin Cilic - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Cilic (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Marin Cilic will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marin Cilic will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cilic (votes: 4 - 80%). Popyrin (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cilic is ranked ATP: 49. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 47.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cilic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cilic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Zachary Svajda - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.26	Brandon Nakashima - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
14.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Ethan Quinn - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWW
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Jenson Brooksby - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Alexei Popyrin - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.26	Alexei Popyrin - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Mubarak Shannan Zayid - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
26.02.25	Alexei Popyrin - Marin Cilic	1:2
ATP Miami
26.03.22	Marin Cilic - Alexei Popyrin	2:0
ATP Singapore
27.02.21	Marin Cilic - Alexei Popyrin	0:2

Marin Cilic - Alexei Popyrin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide