Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2 (Portugal), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Cardoso M. (Por)


	Sebastian Fanselow		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.27	Watch
	3.75	1.28
	3.3	1.31	Watch
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.43	1.29	Watch
	3.4	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.61)	1.29 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Fanselow
27.3%

Lukas Neumayer
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Fanselow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Fanselow's form might have worsened.

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lukas Neumayer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Fanselow than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Fanselow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sebastian Fanselow - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fanselow is ranked ATP: 328. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 319.

Recent matches Fanselow is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Neumayer is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Neumayer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Neumayer is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fanselow won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Fanselow
ATP Challenger
06.08.24	Sebastian Fanselow - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
30.07.24	Gastao Elias - Sebastian Fanselow	2:0 ✺
09.07.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Fanselow	2:0 ✺
08.07.24	Sebastian Fanselow - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Sebastian Fanselow - Justin Engel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
13.08.24	Lukas Neumayer - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
05.08.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
24.07.24	Lukas Neumayer - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
23.07.24	Sebastian Ofner - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.07.24	Lukas Neumayer - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.05.24	Lukas Neumayer - Sebastian Fanselow	2:1

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