Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Champaign, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Nicolas Mejia		Cedrik-Marcel Stebe

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.25	1.67
	2.11	1.66	Watch
			Watch
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.08	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.91)	1.6 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
41.8%

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Mejia's form might have worsened.

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cedrik-Marcel Stebe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Mejia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cedrik-Marcel Stebe than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cedrik-Marcel Stebe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Nicolas Mejia - Cedrik Marcel Stebe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mejia is ranked ATP: 208. Stebe is ranked ATP: 426.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mejia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
06.11.25	Nicolas Mejia - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Nicolas Mejia - Aristotelis Thanos	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Oliver Tarvet - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Juan Bautista Torres - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW
- Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
ATP Challenger
08.11.25	Mitchell Krueger - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Murphy Cassone - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Oliver Tarvet - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Justin Engel - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWWL

Nicolas Mejia - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide