Match Info

Date: 27 July 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	00:35	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:35	SportKlub
Croatia	16:35	SportKlub
Czech Republic	16:35	Nova Sport 2
France	16:35	beIN Sports
Germany	16:35	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	15:35	Sport TV
Serbia	16:35	SportKlub
Slovenia	16:35	SportKlub


	Sebastian Ofner		Dominic Thiem

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.1	1.22
	4.35	1.22
	4.1	1.23
	4.73	1.23
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.65	1.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (3.29)	1.23 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
22.3%

Dominic Thiem
77.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.4%

71.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Ofner's form might have worsened.

Dominic Thiem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dominic Thiem's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Ofner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dominic Thiem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.2%	0%	78.8%

Sebastian Ofner - Dominic Thiem Predictions

Users Predictions: Dominic Thiem will win (26 of 33 users predict this - 78.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.84% – 92.74%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Ofner could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Thiem is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ofner won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Kitzbuhel
26.07.22	Richard Gasquet - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
24.07.22	Sebastian Ofner - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
23.07.22	Pavel Kotov - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.07.22	Sebastian Ofner - Gerald Melzer	0:2 ✺
19.07.22	Juan Bautista Torres - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLW
- Dominic Thiem
ATP Kitzbuhel
26.07.22	Alexander Shevchenko - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
25.07.22	Richard Gasquet - Dominic Thiem	Canceled ✺
ATP Gstaad
23.07.22	Dominic Thiem - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
22.07.22	Dominic Thiem - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
21.07.22	Dominic Thiem - Federico Delbonis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Pro Series Austria Men
08.06.20	Dominic Thiem - Sebastian Ofner	1:2
ATP Kitzbuhel
31.07.19	Dominic Thiem - Sebastian Ofner	2:0

Sebastian Ofner - Dominic Thiem